GURUS ESTHER DYSON AND VINTON G CERF -- sound off about what the next decade will look for the Internet -- fascinating link to a free (yes, no charge) story on Wall Street Journal late last week-- here's the link:
..... next 10 years online
Vinton G. Cerf, one of the architects of the Internet, and technology pundit Esther Dyson exchanged a series of e-mails about what the Web will bring in the next decade. Both see an Internet that extends to all kinds of devices -- including luggage, household appliances and a range of consumer electronics. The Wall Street Journal (free content) (5/4)
HIGHLIGHTS FROM THAT WSJ ARTICLE INCLUDE: WSJ OVERVIEW: Cerf envisions an interplanetary network, Dyson ponders a loss of privacy and an information glut.
CERF-- key points: Mobility has entered the world, big time,Geo-indexed information has increased in value Broadband is finally coming, and is highly penetrant already in some communities Channel surfing will be replaced by menu selection,By the end of the decade, we will have a two planet Internet in operation,The Internet reaches only about a billion users so there are another 5.5 billion to go.
DYSON -- keypoints: The Internet will have become more ubiquitous but less visible,most things will have Internet identities ,the biggest issue will be not search but filtering: fundamental shift in the balance of power towards,much harder for consumers to get free content anonymously individuals. People go on the Web in search of attention; they don't want to give it as much as get it. It's just that the advertisers are not the center of attention ,people judge their own worth by their number of friends (Friendster) or fans (MySpace) or business contacts (LinkedIn). Internet of the future will be much more tightly linked to physical space.
DYSON'S BIG QUESTION ---who controls the filtering: individuals, organizations or governments? Will it be done transparently?
WSJ ASKS: What do you think the Internet will look like a decade from now? Join a discussion.
Watch this blog for Hollywood2020's forecast on the Internet in 2015-- in fact in Joyce Schwarz book, "MULTIMEDIA: GATEWAY TO THE NEXT MILLENNIUM" she forecasts the multi-media world of 2015 in her opening paragraphs...for an advance preview, email her at [email protected].
( Megacities 2015)
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